MATERNAL MORTALITY PREDICTION FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO USING THE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD

Authors

  • Smartson. P. NYONI Independent Researcher & Medical Doctor, Harare, Zimbabwe Author
  • Thabani NYONI Author

Keywords:

Exponential smoothing, Forecasting, Maternal Mortality Ratio

Abstract

This study uses annual time series data on MMR for Trinidad and Tobago from 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The study utilizes Holt’s double exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.4 and 0.1 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that MMR will fall from around 44 in 2024 to about 34 deaths per 100 000 live births in 2035. Therefore, we encourage authorities to address local causes of maternal deaths.

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Published

2026-08-14

Issue

Vol. 4 No. 08 (2026): WEJMMS

Section

Articles

License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

How to Cite

MATERNAL MORTALITY PREDICTION FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO USING THE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD. (2026). Western European Journal of Medicine and Medical Science, 4(08), 1-10. https://westerneuropeanstudies.com/index.php/3/article/view/3915

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