CALCULATION OF ANNUAL MATERNAL MORTALITY RATE FOR THE STATE OF ISRAEL USING A MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUE

Abstract

This research article employs annual time series data on MMR for the State of Israel from 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The forecast evaluation criteria of the applied model indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable. The neural network model projections revealed that MMR will remain around 3 deaths per 100 000 live births throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the government to address local causes of maternal deaths and continue routine surveillance of severe maternal morbidity.