MATERNAL MORTALITY PREDICTION FOR QATAR USING THE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING TECHNIQUE

Authors

  • Smartson. P. NYONI Author
  • Thabani NYONI Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe Author

Keywords:

Exponential smoothing, Forecasting, Maternal Mortality Ratio

Abstract

This study uses annual time series data on MMR for Qatar from 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The study utilizes Holt’s double exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.7 and 0.1 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that MMR will remain very low over the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage authorities to continue addressing local causes of maternal deaths.

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Published

2026-03-21

Issue

Vol. 4 No. 03 (2026): WEJMMS

Section

Articles

License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

How to Cite

MATERNAL MORTALITY PREDICTION FOR QATAR USING THE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING TECHNIQUE. (2026). Western European Journal of Medicine and Medical Science, 4(03), 80-90. https://westerneuropeanstudies.com/index.php/3/article/view/3919

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